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Scenario Surveillance Analysis: USAID/UKRAINE Monitoring and Learning Support Contract

By: Collin J Meisel, David Bohl, Jonathan D Moyer, Dania Arayssi

Abstract:Ìý

Ukraine is a land of bright possibilities and bitter realities. Its recent past has been marked by an array of contrary events and trends, such as civil re-awakening and persistent corruption, democratic reform and constitutional crises, societal reconciliation and violent conflict. In light of these counter-balancing phenomena, it can be difficult to assess whether optimism, pessimism, or some degree of a middling realism is warranted when one is attempting to determine where Ukraine is plausibly headed next. Whither Ukraine?

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